Variable vs. Fixed Interest Rates: Navigating Today’s Market

September 5, 2023
Interest rates play an important role in the world of finance, affecting everything from mortgages to savings accounts and car loans! In today’s ever-changing market, Buyers face a crucial decision when borrowing money for their home – should they opt for a variable or fixed interest rate? Each option comes with its own set of advantages and disadvantages, and understanding them is key to making informed financial decisions. With so much talk today about how the rates may continue to rise, or start falling, what is the right choice for you?

Pros of a Variable Interest Rate

1. Lower Initial Rates: Variable interest rates typically start lower than fixed rates, making them an attractive option for borrowers who want to capitalize on immediate cost savings, however at the moment, the variable rate is actually a little higher than the fixed (at most financial institutions.)

2. Potential for Lower Payments: When interest rates remain stable or decrease, borrowers with variable rates can enjoy lower monthly payments, reducing the strain on their budgets.

3. Opportunity for Savings: In a falling rate environment, variable rate borrowers can benefit from reduced interest costs, ultimately paying less over the life of their loan.

4. Flexibility: Variable rates often come with more flexible terms, allowing borrowers to adjust to changing financial circumstances, It is also optimal for those that know they will be reselling in the near future as cancellation policies are a lot less strict/costly.

Cons of a Variable Interest Rate
1. Rate Volatility: The most significant drawback of variable rates is their susceptibility to market fluctuations. Borrowers could face substantial payment increases if rates rise significantly, and in today’s market, even much longer amortization periods!

2. Uncertainty: Predicting future interest rate movements can be challenging for even the most knowledgeable people, making it difficult for borrowers to plan their finances with confidence on a quarterly basis.

3. Budgeting Challenges: Variability in monthly payments can make budgeting more complex, potentially causing financial stress for some borrowers.

 
In today’s market, Variable rates do not offer much “superiority” vs. the fixed rates because they tend to be starting just above or at the same rate as a fixed, the only difference is that many speculators are hoping rates start to drop, and when choosing your interest rate for 3-4-5 years, seeing it go from 5.69% to 3.99% may hurt. Question is, are you willing to risk it?

Pros of a Fixed Interest Rate
1. Rate Stability: Fixed interest rates offer predictability and stability, ensuring that borrowers’ monthly payments remain constant throughout the loan term.

2. Long-term Planning: Fixed rates are ideal for borrowers who prefer long-term financial planning, as they eliminate the uncertainty associated with variable rates.

3. Protection Against Rate Increases: Borrowers with fixed rates are shielded from sudden interest rate spikes, providing financial security.

4. Peace of Mind: Fixed rates offer peace of mind, as borrowers don’t need to worry about market fluctuations affecting their mortgage or loan payments.

Cons of a Fixed Interest Rate
1. Higher Initial Rates: Fixed interest rates typically start higher than variable rates, which can be a deterrent for borrowers looking to minimize initial costs. (Although right now, fixed rates tend to be lower at most institutions) 

2. Missed Savings: Borrowers with fixed rates may miss out on potential savings if interest rates decrease significantly during the loan term. 

3. Limited Flexibility: Fixed rate loans often come with less flexibility, making it harder for borrowers to adapt to changing financial circumstances. Penalties are much heftier when leaving the bank you are at or selling a property.

 
Fixed rates tend to be a bit more advantageous today as they are a little lower than variable rates, but as mentioned above, they are far from the “norm”. Since 2011, rates in Canada have hovered between 2.5 – 4%, making it hard to swallow a 5 year, 5.69% interest rate.. however this option allows for stability, comfort and easier long term planning.

The choice between a variable and fixed interest rate depends on your individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and long-term goals. In today’s market, both options have their merits. Variable rates offer the potential for lower initial costs and interest savings, but they come with the risk of payment volatility. Fixed rates provide stability and protection against rising rates but may stay higher and limit financial flexibility.

Ultimately, it is important to assess your financial stability, market conditions, and future plans when deciding between variable and fixed interest rates. Consulting with a financial advisor, your mortgage and real estate broker as well as people with long term experience (parents, elderly people) and carefully considering your priorities will help you make the best choice for your unique circumstances. Remember that no single option is universally superior, as the best choice will vary from person to person.